Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.297806 0.400814 0.514673 0.647672 0.796819 0.957238 1.141249
2025-06-01 0.132029 0.252073 0.405605 0.604163 0.844585 1.118757 1.448396
2025-06-08 0.064018 0.178992 0.347489 0.582895 0.882765 1.236909 1.673962
2025-06-15 0.032365 0.141697 0.325003 0.597883 0.958808 1.395538 1.943914
2025-06-22 0.011172 0.104617 0.291756 0.590195 0.999871 1.506981 2.153749
2025-06-29 0.001222 0.072496 0.256240 0.572439 1.022967 1.592817 2.330103
2025-07-06 0.000005 0.063219 0.257816 0.607191 1.114627 1.763348 2.608518
2025-07-13 NaN 0.057562 0.264582 0.648938 1.215304 1.945080 2.900645
2025-07-20 NaN 0.051415 0.268403 0.685139 1.307864 2.116266 3.179791
2025-07-27 NaN 0.052939 0.289481 0.749206 1.439457 2.337776 3.521460
2025-08-03 NaN 0.049152 0.296956 0.790662 1.539178 2.518277 3.812498
2025-08-10 NaN 0.037933 0.282598 0.794433 1.584769 2.628299 4.015696
2025-08-17 NaN 0.019007 0.237487 0.744336 1.555184 2.644677 4.108611
2025-08-24 NaN 0.006537 0.194963 0.692541 1.520044 2.652367 4.190330
2025-08-31 NaN 0.001805 0.171242 0.671029 1.526684 2.712907 4.336272
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000641 0.166831 0.686779 1.589617 2.849007 4.578584
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.151815 0.678614 1.614597 2.933087 4.753865
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.133092 0.659467 1.620889 2.990772 4.894563
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.139476 0.696874 1.717179 3.172248 5.195412
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.149022 0.741705 1.825504 3.370492 5.518196
2025-10-12 NaN NaN 0.155950 0.780507 1.924253 3.555658 5.824227
2025-10-19 NaN NaN 0.175698 0.849021 2.070734 3.806799 6.215897
2025-10-26 NaN NaN 0.184913 0.893259 2.178409 4.004556 6.538608